Park Crime - ANALYSIS

A Quantitative Look at Crime

The crime table allows one to clearly observe which parks have the
most criminal violations in their immediate region. The following list
indicates the hierarchy of the parks in terms of total crime, from most
crime to least:

Dexter Training Ground - 1642 violations
Donigian Park - 1491 violations
Merino Park - 1182 violations
Sackett St. Park - 1037 violations
Billy Taylor Park - 993 violations
Fargnoli Park - 312 violations

Furthermore, one can also determine which crime types are most prevalent in regards to their contribution to total crime (when aggregating crime in all the park regions). The last line of the table informs the following hierarchy, showing the crime types from greatest to least percentage of total crime:

Property Violations - 35%
Non-violent Criminal Violations - 23%
Neighborhood Disturbance Violations - 22%
Violent Crime - 10%
Environmental Disorder Violations - 7%
Drug Violations - 2%

Interestingly, the crime patterns around each of the parks mirror this hierarchy. In each case, the different crime-types comprise very similar percentages of total crime. For example, for all the parks, non-violent criminal violations comprise between 22% and 25% of the total crime.

These observations are largely apparent. However, when these results are combined with the results from interviews of park users, i.e. perceptions of safety and perceptions of crime, one can examine the relationship between the actual crime situation of a park, and how people perceive the park's crime and safety. See Linking Crime and Perceptions.

City-Wide Crime Map

The city-wide map gives a comprehensive yet simple picture of the dynamics of crime in the city and how parks - both the case study park investigated here, as well as general open spaces - fit into these trends.

Firstly, when looking at where the case study parks are located in relation to crime hotspots, it is clear that none of them are located in any of these major hotspots. Fargnoli Park - as expected, it being the park situated in a stable neighborhood with generally low crime - is nowhere near to crime clusters. Sackett Street is also located in a low-crime area, unlike the regions further north of it in the rest of the Elmwood neighborhood. Billy Taylor Park, Dexter Training Ground, and Donigian Park are curiously all located in small low-crime corridors between various regions of greater crime clustering. Merino Park is the only park closely situated to a particularly high-crime region; it's southern border essentially touches a small hotspot. This observation doesn't indicate that these park areas don't have crime issues - looking at the quantitative summary of criminal violations for the various park regions shows some high rates of certain crimes. Yet relative to other areas of the city, they are not located in major hotspot areas.

The map can give a good indication as to which parks might be vulnerable to crime and safety issues due to their location in crime hotspots. These parks might be of interest in future studies of such issues in Providence, and could be used by the Providence Parks Department to understand which parks might require more attention to crime and safety concerns.

* The Downtown area is the primary hotspot of crime in the city, possibly putting the following parks at risk:
Abbott Park
Freeman park
Kennedy Plaza area
Water Place Park

* Olneyville also has quite a preponderance of crime in its center. Joslin Playground and the grounds at the Joslin School are both located within this cluster.

* The Charles neighborhood in the northern section of the city has a hotspot in which the following parks are located:
Hopkins Square
Ascham St. Park
Branch Ave. School Grounds

·* The Silver Lake area, directly below Olneyville possesses a single hotspot cluster. The Clarence St. Playground and Webster Ave. School Grounds are in particular proximity to this region.

Detailing these parks doesn't indicate a belief that these parks will be ravaged by crime - there are many factors that affect how a park will be impacted by the dynamics of its surroundings. It merely suggests that they might be susceptible to some issues that can be associated with high crime. These might be as small as graffiti or vandalism, yet even such small matters might lead to bigger problems (see Park Challenges).

LIMITATIONS

The most significant limitation of the crime data is that it did not include any information on crime within parks. All the crime reports in the database were associated with a residential or commercial property; none were related to park crime incidents. This means that I had no quantitative concept of crime occurring inside a park, and any information I could acquire was of a qualitative nature. Furthermore, analyzing the calls for service database (which includes all incidents where the police were called to respond, and not just those that were written up as reports) would render a more comprehensive picture of the crime situation in an area.

Another major limitation is related to the fact that GIS mapping analysis is only as good as the data. The geocoded data (see Park Crime Methods) used as the basis for the density maps displayed a 90% matching rate, meaning that 90% of the crime reports were associated with an address and consequently mapped. Although this is quite a high rate, it still means that 10% of the data was not mapped because it could not be matched to any address. This reflects problems in the database such as incomplete addresses, addresses that were incorrectly recorded, spelling mistakes, etc. Since it was such a large database, these errors could not all be manually solved, and are reflected in the incomplete picture shown by the GIS maps.