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Conclusions
So, does the Atlantic Cod have a future in the Gulf of Maine? After spending
many months researching this topic I have drawn seven major conclusions.
The
most effective regulatory measures appear to be increased mesh sizes and
the establishment of "No-Take" Zones.
Regulatory measures are often enacted in the fishery in combination with
other measures. Rarely, if ever, does the cod fishery only have one regulation
imposed on it. This makes it very difficult to isolate which regulation
is having the most effective results. Therefore it is hard to create new
regulations based solely on the historical effectiveness of a single measure.
However the establishment of "No-Take" Zones and increases in
minimum mesh sizes appear to be the most effective regulatory measures
by protecting a population of cod yet still resulting in increased commercial
landings and NEFSC bottom trawl survey catches.
The
Gulf of Maine cod is overfished compared to historical levels.
This can be seen in the graphs depicting commercial landings over time.
The fishery has seen drastic declines in landings since data began to
be accurately reported in 1893. Despite the fact that 1991 produced record
landings, commercial fishermen were just getting out of an almost-50 period
of very low landings. In less than 10 years, between 1991 and 1999, landings
dropped by over 90% from approximately 18,000 mt to approximately 1,200
mt in spite of federal and state efforts to manage cod stocks. 1999 produced
record low landings- lower than any other year in over a century.
Recent
upturn in landings may be the result of regulations imposed in the mid-to-late
1990's.
The biological results of the regulations may not appear for 4-6 years.
A large number of regulations were imposed in the mid-to-late 1990s- six
major regulations were implemented alone in 1994. These effects should
be starting to come into view presently. The increase in landings between
1999 and 2000 may or may not be a result of the numerous regulations but
it is too early to tell.
The
cod fishery is currently being managed for 4 to 5 year old animals.
The 4-5 year age class of cod is the target for commercial fishermen,
therefore the management regimes are geared towards these year classes.
Regulations that only have a life of a year or two defeat the purpose-
the juveniles that the regulations are saving in the first year are left
vulnerable only one or two years later. Sexual maturity is reached between
the ages of 2 and 4. Regulations are geared towards allowing these fish
to spawn at least once before they are of legal size to be caught.
Managers
and fishers do not view the fishery in the same way.
From talking with commercial fishers, fish exchange workers and the others,
it appears that this is a very significant problem with the cod fishery
in the Gulf of Maine. There is a fundamental rift between fishers and
managers. Fishers believe that since they are out on the ocean every day
that they know first hand the state of the cod populations. On the other
hand managers are using data from scientists who claim to know the state
of the cod populations based on scientific trawls and population/spawning
stock biomass equations. In general both parties blame each other for
ineffective cod management.
Regulations
are not brought about in a timely manner.
Often times it will take months or years to bring about a new regulatory
measure. For instance, only in November of 1989 did the NEFMC formally
declare the Atlantic cod "overfished" in the Gulf of Maine,
after witnessing catches decline almost 50% in less than five years. Regulations
must be given public comment before being drafted; unfortunately these
occasionally get drawn out over a long period of time and no consensus
is reached.This is mainly due to the disagreement between fishers, the
public and the managers on what is fair and appropriate.
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